2018年7月23日月曜日

IRON ORE,COPPER,VIX and USDJPY



> summary(lm(to.monthly(YJUSDJPY)["2008::2017"][,4] ~ to.monthly(VIX)["2008::2017"][,4] + to.monthly(COPPER)["2008::2017"][,4] +to.monthly(IRON_ORE)["2008::2017"][,4]))

Call:
lm(formula = to.monthly(YJUSDJPY)["2008::2017"][, 4] ~ to.monthly(VIX)["2008::2017"][,
    4] + to.monthly(COPPER)["2008::2017"][, 4] + to.monthly(IRON_ORE)["2008::2017"][,
    4])

Residuals:
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max
-18.569  -7.629  -0.686   4.995  22.341

Coefficients:
                                          Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) 
(Intercept)                              1.426e+02  6.451e+00  22.103  < 2e-16 ***
to.monthly(VIX)["2008::2017"][, 4]      -6.714e-01  9.754e-02  -6.883 3.18e-10 ***
to.monthly(COPPER)["2008::2017"][, 4]   -5.174e-03  6.956e-04  -7.438 1.92e-11 ***
to.monthly(IRON_ORE)["2008::2017"][, 4]  6.416e-02  2.261e-02   2.838  0.00536 **
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1

Residual standard error: 9.565 on 116 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared:  0.5369, Adjusted R-squared:  0.5249
F-statistic: 44.82 on 3 and 116 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16

plot(merge(to.monthly(YJUSDJPY["2008::2017"])[,4],predict(lm(to.monthly(YJUSDJPY)["2008::2017"][,4] ~ to.monthly(VIX)["2008::2017"][,4] + to.monthly(COPPER)["2008::2017"][,4] +to.monthly(IRON_ORE)["2008::2017"][,4]))))


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